Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 9.603083 11.011699 12.511877 14.223764 16.118258 18.145808 20.474877
2025-02-23 7.145517 8.989826 11.096513 13.662028 16.681943 20.103550 24.252101
2025-03-02 5.516789 7.575534 10.084777 13.324195 17.347981 22.132623 28.198632
2025-03-09 4.444946 6.626243 9.448716 13.288141 18.286265 24.479230 32.628737
2025-03-16 3.569527 5.766734 8.778171 13.080350 18.926450 26.442213 36.661987
2025-03-23 3.151478 5.457723 8.777111 13.716167 20.666091 29.868080 42.707684
2025-03-30 2.679323 4.982357 8.464843 13.858977 21.710390 32.402323 47.687638
2025-04-06 2.151363 4.322920 7.784861 13.377663 21.806353 33.615728 50.913468
2025-04-13 1.707386 3.716812 7.096947 12.790542 21.666813 34.447442 53.603410
2025-04-20 1.541495 3.568931 7.120869 13.292330 23.154680 37.637410 59.703776
2025-04-27 1.478966 3.601624 7.444861 14.289695 25.443497 42.076172 67.742343
2025-05-04 1.379420 3.543570 7.599100 15.008552 27.324789 45.978167 75.132038
2025-05-11 1.190015 3.275712 7.359551 15.063354 28.188296 48.448862 80.610637
2025-05-18 0.986135 2.934591 6.940035 14.763910 28.450646 50.010147 84.798334
2025-05-25 0.825672 2.655444 6.600362 14.568072 28.859464 51.801418 89.386290
2025-06-01 0.713245 2.465498 6.411215 14.623280 29.682749 54.261892 95.063793
2025-06-08 0.598908 2.241725 6.119491 14.452098 30.092351 56.063800 99.768857
2025-06-15 0.564758 2.229260 6.281825 15.172100 32.109725 60.545723 108.812136
2025-06-22 0.497237 2.103999 6.175375 15.345123 33.146412 63.445290 115.427953
2025-06-29 0.399563 1.857489 5.752892 14.832884 32.891821 64.172717 118.575186
2025-07-06 0.312977 1.614626 5.297600 14.200512 32.360497 64.391416 120.881013
2025-07-13 0.291359 1.592302 5.389637 14.749232 34.097476 68.549932 129.753684
2025-07-20 0.292999 1.657832 5.716168 15.834537 36.915866 74.663144 142.004618